The SWS May 2013 survey for senators show that 9 LP or Team PNoy bets, 3 UNA candidates will likely win the senatorial race.
With just few days prior to May 13 elections, the Social Weather Stations (SWS) outs its latest survey on senators done on May 2 to 3. The SWS May survey results show that seven (7) Liberal Party candidates and two United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) bets are “likely to win” in the upcoming midterm polls; these include:
1 - Loren Legarda (Nationalist People’s Coalition – Team PNoy) – 57% support level
2 - Alan Peter Cayetano (Nacionalista Party- Team PNoy) – 50%
3 – 4 - Maria Lourdes Nancy S. Binay (UNA) – 48%
3 – 4 Francis Joseph G. Escudero (independent-Team PNoy) – 48%
5 - Grace Poe-Llamanzares (independent-Team PNoy) - 45%
6 – 7 - San Juan Rep. Joseph Victor Ejercito (UNA) - 44%
6 – 7 - Cynthia A. Villar (NP-Team PNoy) – 44 %
8 - Aquilino Martin “Koko” D. Pimentel III (Partido Demokratikong Pilipino-Lakas ng Bayan-Team PNoy) – 43%
9 - Paolo Benigno “Bam” Aquino IV (Liberal Party-PNoy) – 41%
Six candidates fight for the last three slots:
- LP bets Aurora Rep. Juan Edgardo “Sonny” M. Angara and reelectionist Antionio “Sonny” V. Trillanes IV tied at 10th to 11th spots with 38% support level.
- Re-electionist Gregorio “Gringo” B. Honasan of UNA at 12th spot with 37% support level
- Juan Ponce “Jack” Enrile, Jr. at 13th slot with 35%.
- Ramon Magsaysay Jr. of Team PNoy and Juan Miguel Zubiri of UNA tied at 14th and 15th spots with 33% score.
According to SWS, a candidate with 33% support level “is statistically capable of reaching 12th place.” The SWS said the most probable final Team PNoy-UNA score is 9-3, given the statistical ties, with 12th place going to either Honasan or Enrile.
“The next probable scores could either be 10-2 (if Magsaysay wins at the expense of Enrile) or else 8-4 (if Zubiri wins at the expense of either Angara or Trillanes),” SWS said.
“The least likely score is 7-5, if both Enrile and Zubiri win at the expense of both Angara and Trillanes.”
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